Time series forecasting of the number of Malaysia Airlines and AirAsia passengers

• Main Authors: Asrah, N. M., Nor, M. E., Rahim, S. N. A., Leng, W. K.
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: IOP Publishing 2018
• Subjects: HE9761-9900 Air transportation. Airlines
• Online Access: http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/5695/1/AJ%202018%20%28310%29.pdf; http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/5695/

The standard practice in forecasting process involved by fitting a model and further analysis on the residuals. If we know the distributional behaviour of the time series data, it can help us to directly analyse the model identification, parameter estimation, and model checking. In this paper, we want to compare the distributional behaviour data from the number of Malaysia Airlines (MAS) and AirAsia passenger’s. From the previous research, the AirAsia passengers are govern by geometric Brownian motion (GBM). The data were normally distributed, stationary and independent. Then, GBM was used to forecast the number of AirAsia passenger’s. The same methods were applied to MAS data and the results then were compared. Unfortunately, the MAS data were not govern by GBM. Then, the standard approach in time series forecasting will be applied to MAS data. From this comparison, we can conclude that the number of AirAsia passengers are always in peak season rather than MAS passengers.