Time series prediction techniques for estimating remaining useful lifetime of cutting tool failure
Prognostic have progressed over in the last few years as a specific function. It provides remaining useful lifetime (RUL) estimation of the targeted equipment or component in which able to be beneficially used by production or maintenance people to be readily advanced through preventive maintenance...
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my.utem.eprints.140892015-05-28T04:36:13Z http://eprints.utem.edu.my/id/eprint/14089/ Time series prediction techniques for estimating remaining useful lifetime of cutting tool failure Asmai, S. A. Burairah, Hussin Mohd. Yusof, Mokhtar Shibghatullah, Abdul Samad TJ Mechanical engineering and machinery QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science QA76 Computer software Prognostic have progressed over in the last few years as a specific function. It provides remaining useful lifetime (RUL) estimation of the targeted equipment or component in which able to be beneficially used by production or maintenance people to be readily advanced through preventive maintenance actions. In order to get accurate RUL for predicting future failure, RUL estimation is depending on the current condition of equipment. However, existing prognostic works use historical run-to-failure data and simulation-based model which is difficult to predict the future failure occurrence from the current certain level of degradation equipment. Therefore, this paper reported the use of time series prediction techniques in estimating RUL from established degradation index. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) with time series and Double Exponential Smoothing(DES) approaches with some modification is used to carry out the prediction steps. The modification obtained two variants of multi-step time series name predictions namely hybrid ANN-DES and Enhanced Double Exponential Smoothing (EDES). All the techniques are compared and evaluated to investigate the performance accuracy based on RMSE. The results shows that the EDES has a better solution in RUL estimation compare than other techniques Praise Worthy Prize 2014-10-01 Article PeerReviewed application/msword en http://eprints.utem.edu.my/id/eprint/14089/1/azirah_Irecos_V2_Accepted.doc Asmai, S. A. and Burairah, Hussin and Mohd. Yusof, Mokhtar and Shibghatullah, Abdul Samad (2014) Time series prediction techniques for estimating remaining useful lifetime of cutting tool failure. International Review on Computers and Software (IRECOS) . pp. 1783-1790. ISSN 1828-6003 |
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TJ Mechanical engineering and machinery QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science QA76 Computer software Asmai, S. A. Burairah, Hussin Mohd. Yusof, Mokhtar Shibghatullah, Abdul Samad Time series prediction techniques for estimating remaining useful lifetime of cutting tool failure |
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Prognostic have progressed over in the last few years as a specific function. It provides remaining useful lifetime (RUL) estimation of the targeted equipment or component in which able to be beneficially used by production or maintenance people to be readily advanced through preventive maintenance actions. In order to get accurate RUL for predicting future failure, RUL estimation is depending on the current condition of equipment. However, existing prognostic works use historical run-to-failure data and simulation-based model which is difficult to predict the future failure occurrence from the current certain level of degradation equipment. Therefore, this paper reported the use of time series prediction techniques in estimating RUL from established degradation index. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) with time series and Double Exponential Smoothing(DES) approaches with some modification is used to carry out the prediction steps. The modification obtained two variants of multi-step time series name predictions namely hybrid ANN-DES and Enhanced Double Exponential Smoothing (EDES). All the techniques are compared and evaluated to investigate the performance accuracy based on RMSE. The results shows that the EDES has a better solution in RUL estimation compare than other techniques |
format |
Article |
author |
Asmai, S. A. Burairah, Hussin Mohd. Yusof, Mokhtar Shibghatullah, Abdul Samad |
author_facet |
Asmai, S. A. Burairah, Hussin Mohd. Yusof, Mokhtar Shibghatullah, Abdul Samad |
author_sort |
Asmai, S. A. |
title |
Time series prediction techniques for estimating remaining useful lifetime of cutting tool failure |
title_short |
Time series prediction techniques for estimating remaining useful lifetime of cutting tool failure |
title_full |
Time series prediction techniques for estimating remaining useful lifetime of cutting tool failure |
title_fullStr |
Time series prediction techniques for estimating remaining useful lifetime of cutting tool failure |
title_full_unstemmed |
Time series prediction techniques for estimating remaining useful lifetime of cutting tool failure |
title_sort |
time series prediction techniques for estimating remaining useful lifetime of cutting tool failure |
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Praise Worthy Prize |
publishDate |
2014 |
url |
http://eprints.utem.edu.my/id/eprint/14089/1/azirah_Irecos_V2_Accepted.doc http://eprints.utem.edu.my/id/eprint/14089/ |
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13.18916 |