Evolutionary automated radial basis function neural network for multiphase flowing bottom-hole pressure prediction

• Main Authors: Campos, Deivid, Wayo, Dennis Delali Kwesi, De Santis, Rodrigo Barbosa, Martyushev, Dmitriy A., Yaseen, Zaher Mundher, Duru, Ugochukwu Ilozurike, Saporetti, Camila M., Goliatt, Leonardo
• Format: Article
• Language: English; English
• Published: Elsevier 2024
• Subjects: TP Chemical technology
• Online Access: http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/43134/1/Evolutionary%20automated%20radial%20basis%20function%20neural%20network_ABST.pdf; http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/43134/2/Evolutionary%20automated%20radial%20basis%20function%20neural%20network.pdf; http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/43134/; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fuel.2024.132666; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fuel.2024.132666

Accurate multiphase flowing bottom-hole pressure prediction within wellbores is a critical requirement to improve tube design and production optimization. Existing models often struggle to achieve reliable accuracy across the full range of operational conditions encountered in oil and gas wells. This can lead to misallocating resources during well design, inefficient production strategies resulting in lost revenue, increased risk of wellbore damage, and poorly informed investment decisions. This research presents a data-driven hybrid approach that uses a Radial Basis Function Neural Network and a Particle Swarm Optimization algorithm to construct an automated hybrid machine learning model. The proposed model was compared with several well-established machine learning models in the literature using the same computational framework. The modeling results demonstrated the superiority of the hybrid approach. The model achieved superior performance with lower errors, as evidenced by a Relative Root Mean Squared Error (RRMSE) of 0.055. Furthermore, the model exhibited a low level of uncertainty throughout the analysis, indicating its high degree of reliability. These findings suggest the proposed data-driven approach offers a robust and practical solution for FBHP prediction in oil and gas wells.