Predicting the Global Crisis Recovery Period: Lessons from the 1997 Crisis

• Main Authors: J, Duasa,, N, Ahmad,
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: Routledge Journals, Taylor & Francis Ltd 2015
• Subjects: Indicator; forecasting; crisis; recovery; Malaysia
• Online Access: http://ddms.usim.edu.my/handle/123456789/8375

The objective of this paper is to identify the best indicator in forecasting the recovery period from the current global crisis for Malaysia. Initially, to determine the best indicator for the recovery period, we construct a simple forecasting model that incorporates three indicators: lagging, leadi...