Convolutional Neural Network -Support Vector Machine Model-Gaussian Process Regression: A New Machine Model for Predicting Monthly and Daily Rainfall

Rainfall prediction is an important issue in water resource management. Predicting rainfall helps researchers to monitor droughts, surface water and floods. The current study introduces a new deep learning model named convolutional neural network (CONN)- support vector machine (SVM)- Gaussian regres...

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Main Authors: Ehteram M., Ahmed A.N., Sheikh Khozani Z., El-Shafie A.
Other Authors: 57113510800
Format: Article
Published: Springer Science and Business Media B.V. 2024
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spelling my.uniten.dspace-342292024-10-14T11:18:32Z Convolutional Neural Network -Support Vector Machine Model-Gaussian Process Regression: A New Machine Model for Predicting Monthly and Daily Rainfall Ehteram M. Ahmed A.N. Sheikh Khozani Z. El-Shafie A. 57113510800 57214837520 57185668800 16068189400 Deep learning model Machine Learning model Rainfall pattern Water resource management Malaysia Terengganu Terengganu Basin West Malaysia Convolution Convolutional neural networks Deep learning Disasters Drought Floods Forecasting Gaussian distribution Gaussian noise (electronic) Information management Learning systems Rain Resource allocation Surface waters Uncertainty analysis Water management Convolutional neural network Daily rainfall Deep learning model Learning models Machine learning models Monthly rainfalls Network support Rainfall patterns Support vectors machine Water resources management artificial neural network climate prediction Gaussian method machine learning natural disaster precipitation assessment rainfall support vector machine water resource Support vector machines Rainfall prediction is an important issue in water resource management. Predicting rainfall helps researchers to monitor droughts, surface water and floods. The current study introduces a new deep learning model named convolutional neural network (CONN)- support vector machine (SVM)- Gaussian regression process (GPR) to predict daily and monthly rainfall data in Terengganu River Basin, Malaysia. The CONN-SVM-GRP model can extract the most important features automatically. The main advantage of the new model is to reflect the uncertainty values in the modelling process. The lagged rainfall values were used as the input variables to the models. The proposed CONN-SVM-GRP model successfully decreased the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of other models by 5.9%-23% at the daily scale and 20%-61% at the monthly scale. The CONN-SVM-GRP model also provided the lowest uncertainty among other models, making it a reliable tool for predicting data points and intervals. Hence, it can be concluded that CONN-SVM-GRP model contributes to the sustainable management of water resources, even when satellite data is unavailable, by using lagged values to predict rainfall. Additionally, the model extracts important features without using preprocessing methods, further improving its efficiency. Overall, the CONN-SVM-GRP model can help researchers predict rainfall, which is essential for monitoring water resources and mitigating the impacts of droughts, floods, and other natural disasters. � 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. Final 2024-10-14T03:18:32Z 2024-10-14T03:18:32Z 2023 Article 10.1007/s11269-023-03519-8 2-s2.0-85158137272 https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85158137272&doi=10.1007%2fs11269-023-03519-8&partnerID=40&md5=2b72e29902a0d92320eeba078778c434 https://irepository.uniten.edu.my/handle/123456789/34229 37 9 3631 3655 Springer Science and Business Media B.V. Scopus
institution Universiti Tenaga Nasional
building UNITEN Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Tenaga Nasional
content_source UNITEN Institutional Repository
url_provider http://dspace.uniten.edu.my/
topic Deep learning model
Machine Learning model
Rainfall pattern
Water resource management
Malaysia
Terengganu
Terengganu Basin
West Malaysia
Convolution
Convolutional neural networks
Deep learning
Disasters
Drought
Floods
Forecasting
Gaussian distribution
Gaussian noise (electronic)
Information management
Learning systems
Rain
Resource allocation
Surface waters
Uncertainty analysis
Water management
Convolutional neural network
Daily rainfall
Deep learning model
Learning models
Machine learning models
Monthly rainfalls
Network support
Rainfall patterns
Support vectors machine
Water resources management
artificial neural network
climate prediction
Gaussian method
machine learning
natural disaster
precipitation assessment
rainfall
support vector machine
water resource
Support vector machines
spellingShingle Deep learning model
Machine Learning model
Rainfall pattern
Water resource management
Malaysia
Terengganu
Terengganu Basin
West Malaysia
Convolution
Convolutional neural networks
Deep learning
Disasters
Drought
Floods
Forecasting
Gaussian distribution
Gaussian noise (electronic)
Information management
Learning systems
Rain
Resource allocation
Surface waters
Uncertainty analysis
Water management
Convolutional neural network
Daily rainfall
Deep learning model
Learning models
Machine learning models
Monthly rainfalls
Network support
Rainfall patterns
Support vectors machine
Water resources management
artificial neural network
climate prediction
Gaussian method
machine learning
natural disaster
precipitation assessment
rainfall
support vector machine
water resource
Support vector machines
Ehteram M.
Ahmed A.N.
Sheikh Khozani Z.
El-Shafie A.
Convolutional Neural Network -Support Vector Machine Model-Gaussian Process Regression: A New Machine Model for Predicting Monthly and Daily Rainfall
description Rainfall prediction is an important issue in water resource management. Predicting rainfall helps researchers to monitor droughts, surface water and floods. The current study introduces a new deep learning model named convolutional neural network (CONN)- support vector machine (SVM)- Gaussian regression process (GPR) to predict daily and monthly rainfall data in Terengganu River Basin, Malaysia. The CONN-SVM-GRP model can extract the most important features automatically. The main advantage of the new model is to reflect the uncertainty values in the modelling process. The lagged rainfall values were used as the input variables to the models. The proposed CONN-SVM-GRP model successfully decreased the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of other models by 5.9%-23% at the daily scale and 20%-61% at the monthly scale. The CONN-SVM-GRP model also provided the lowest uncertainty among other models, making it a reliable tool for predicting data points and intervals. Hence, it can be concluded that CONN-SVM-GRP model contributes to the sustainable management of water resources, even when satellite data is unavailable, by using lagged values to predict rainfall. Additionally, the model extracts important features without using preprocessing methods, further improving its efficiency. Overall, the CONN-SVM-GRP model can help researchers predict rainfall, which is essential for monitoring water resources and mitigating the impacts of droughts, floods, and other natural disasters. � 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V.
author2 57113510800
author_facet 57113510800
Ehteram M.
Ahmed A.N.
Sheikh Khozani Z.
El-Shafie A.
format Article
author Ehteram M.
Ahmed A.N.
Sheikh Khozani Z.
El-Shafie A.
author_sort Ehteram M.
title Convolutional Neural Network -Support Vector Machine Model-Gaussian Process Regression: A New Machine Model for Predicting Monthly and Daily Rainfall
title_short Convolutional Neural Network -Support Vector Machine Model-Gaussian Process Regression: A New Machine Model for Predicting Monthly and Daily Rainfall
title_full Convolutional Neural Network -Support Vector Machine Model-Gaussian Process Regression: A New Machine Model for Predicting Monthly and Daily Rainfall
title_fullStr Convolutional Neural Network -Support Vector Machine Model-Gaussian Process Regression: A New Machine Model for Predicting Monthly and Daily Rainfall
title_full_unstemmed Convolutional Neural Network -Support Vector Machine Model-Gaussian Process Regression: A New Machine Model for Predicting Monthly and Daily Rainfall
title_sort convolutional neural network -support vector machine model-gaussian process regression: a new machine model for predicting monthly and daily rainfall
publisher Springer Science and Business Media B.V.
publishDate 2024
_version_ 1814061172435976192
score 13.209306