A comprehensive study and performance analysis of deep neural network-based approaches in wind time-series forecasting

The increasing energy demand and expansion of power plants are provoking the effects of greenhouse gas emissions and global warming. To mitigate these issues, renewable energies (like solar, wind, and hydropower) are blessings for modern energy sectors. The study focuses on wind-speed prediction in...

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Main Authors: Rahman M.M., Shakeri M., Khatun F., Tiong S.K., Alkahtani A.A., Samsudin N.A., Amin N., Pasupuleti J., Hasan M.K.
Other Authors: 58831072700
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Published: Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH 2024
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spelling my.uniten.dspace-342212024-10-14T11:18:29Z A comprehensive study and performance analysis of deep neural network-based approaches in wind time-series forecasting Rahman M.M. Shakeri M. Khatun F. Tiong S.K. Alkahtani A.A. Samsudin N.A. Amin N. Pasupuleti J. Hasan M.K. 58831072700 55433849200 57516189300 15128307800 55646765500 57190525429 7102424614 11340187300 55057479600 NARX neural network Recurrent neural network Renewable energy Time-series forecasting Wind-speed prediction Curve fitting Deep neural networks Errors Gas emissions Global warming Greenhouse gases Mean square error Recurrent neural networks Time series Time series analysis Weather forecasting Wind speed Forecasting: applications NARX neural network Network-based approach Neural network model Performance Prediction modelling Renewable energies Time series forecasting Wind speed prediction Wind time series Neural network models The increasing energy demand and expansion of power plants are provoking the effects of greenhouse gas emissions and global warming. To mitigate these issues, renewable energies (like solar, wind, and hydropower) are blessings for modern energy sectors. The study focuses on wind-speed prediction in energy forecasting applications. This paper is a comprehensive review of deep neural network based approaches, like the �nonlinear autoregressive exogenous inputs (NARX)�, �nonlinear input-output (NIO)� and �nonlinear autoregressive (NAR)� neural network models, in time-series forecasting applications. This study proposed NARX based prediction models in wind-speed forecasting for short-term scheme. The meteorological parameters related to wind time-series have been analyzed, and used for evaluating the performance of the proposed models. The experiments revealed the best performance of the prediction models in terms of �mean square error (MSE)�, �correlation-coefficient (R2)�, �auto-correlation�, �error-histogram�, and �input-error cross-correlation�. Comparing with the other neural network models, like �recurrent neural network (RNN)� and �curve fitting neural network (CFNN)� models, the NARX-based prediction model achieved better performance in regard to �auto-correlation�, �error-histogram�, �input-error cross-correlation�, and training time. The results also showed that the RNN and CFNN models performed better prediction accuracy with R2 and MSE values. While this performance index is slightly higher, it is negligible in forecasting applications and concluded that the proposed NARX-based model achieved the better prediction accuracy in terms of other performance evaluation measures. � 2022, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG. Final 2024-10-14T03:18:29Z 2024-10-14T03:18:29Z 2023 Article 10.1007/s40860-021-00166-x 2-s2.0-85122734862 https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85122734862&doi=10.1007%2fs40860-021-00166-x&partnerID=40&md5=b1dcf2a2de0af5ea06567d8c3bb5fafe https://irepository.uniten.edu.my/handle/123456789/34221 9 2 183 200 Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH Scopus
institution Universiti Tenaga Nasional
building UNITEN Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Tenaga Nasional
content_source UNITEN Institutional Repository
url_provider http://dspace.uniten.edu.my/
topic NARX neural network
Recurrent neural network
Renewable energy
Time-series forecasting
Wind-speed prediction
Curve fitting
Deep neural networks
Errors
Gas emissions
Global warming
Greenhouse gases
Mean square error
Recurrent neural networks
Time series
Time series analysis
Weather forecasting
Wind speed
Forecasting: applications
NARX neural network
Network-based approach
Neural network model
Performance
Prediction modelling
Renewable energies
Time series forecasting
Wind speed prediction
Wind time series
Neural network models
spellingShingle NARX neural network
Recurrent neural network
Renewable energy
Time-series forecasting
Wind-speed prediction
Curve fitting
Deep neural networks
Errors
Gas emissions
Global warming
Greenhouse gases
Mean square error
Recurrent neural networks
Time series
Time series analysis
Weather forecasting
Wind speed
Forecasting: applications
NARX neural network
Network-based approach
Neural network model
Performance
Prediction modelling
Renewable energies
Time series forecasting
Wind speed prediction
Wind time series
Neural network models
Rahman M.M.
Shakeri M.
Khatun F.
Tiong S.K.
Alkahtani A.A.
Samsudin N.A.
Amin N.
Pasupuleti J.
Hasan M.K.
A comprehensive study and performance analysis of deep neural network-based approaches in wind time-series forecasting
description The increasing energy demand and expansion of power plants are provoking the effects of greenhouse gas emissions and global warming. To mitigate these issues, renewable energies (like solar, wind, and hydropower) are blessings for modern energy sectors. The study focuses on wind-speed prediction in energy forecasting applications. This paper is a comprehensive review of deep neural network based approaches, like the �nonlinear autoregressive exogenous inputs (NARX)�, �nonlinear input-output (NIO)� and �nonlinear autoregressive (NAR)� neural network models, in time-series forecasting applications. This study proposed NARX based prediction models in wind-speed forecasting for short-term scheme. The meteorological parameters related to wind time-series have been analyzed, and used for evaluating the performance of the proposed models. The experiments revealed the best performance of the prediction models in terms of �mean square error (MSE)�, �correlation-coefficient (R2)�, �auto-correlation�, �error-histogram�, and �input-error cross-correlation�. Comparing with the other neural network models, like �recurrent neural network (RNN)� and �curve fitting neural network (CFNN)� models, the NARX-based prediction model achieved better performance in regard to �auto-correlation�, �error-histogram�, �input-error cross-correlation�, and training time. The results also showed that the RNN and CFNN models performed better prediction accuracy with R2 and MSE values. While this performance index is slightly higher, it is negligible in forecasting applications and concluded that the proposed NARX-based model achieved the better prediction accuracy in terms of other performance evaluation measures. � 2022, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.
author2 58831072700
author_facet 58831072700
Rahman M.M.
Shakeri M.
Khatun F.
Tiong S.K.
Alkahtani A.A.
Samsudin N.A.
Amin N.
Pasupuleti J.
Hasan M.K.
format Article
author Rahman M.M.
Shakeri M.
Khatun F.
Tiong S.K.
Alkahtani A.A.
Samsudin N.A.
Amin N.
Pasupuleti J.
Hasan M.K.
author_sort Rahman M.M.
title A comprehensive study and performance analysis of deep neural network-based approaches in wind time-series forecasting
title_short A comprehensive study and performance analysis of deep neural network-based approaches in wind time-series forecasting
title_full A comprehensive study and performance analysis of deep neural network-based approaches in wind time-series forecasting
title_fullStr A comprehensive study and performance analysis of deep neural network-based approaches in wind time-series forecasting
title_full_unstemmed A comprehensive study and performance analysis of deep neural network-based approaches in wind time-series forecasting
title_sort comprehensive study and performance analysis of deep neural network-based approaches in wind time-series forecasting
publisher Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
publishDate 2024
_version_ 1814061109825503232
score 13.209306