Forecasting of fine particulate matter based on LSTM and optimization algorithm

Accurate air pollution forecasting may provide valuable information for urban planning to maintain environmental sustainability and reduce mortality risk due to health problems. The city with higher industrial activities, traffic congestion, population density, and energy consumption is most likely...

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Main Authors: Zaini N., Ahmed A.N., Ean L.W., Chow M.F., Malek M.A.
Other Authors: 56905328500
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Published: Elsevier Ltd 2024
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spelling my.uniten.dspace-339032024-10-14T11:17:24Z Forecasting of fine particulate matter based on LSTM and optimization algorithm Zaini N. Ahmed A.N. Ean L.W. Chow M.F. Malek M.A. 56905328500 57214837520 55324334700 57214146115 55636320055 Air pollution Artificial intelligence Deep learning Optimization Particulate matter Air quality Empirical mode decomposition Energy utilization Forecasting Health risks Learning algorithms Long short-term memory Particles (particulate matter) Population statistics Sustainable development Traffic congestion Air pollution forecasting Air quality monitoring stations Deep learning Fine particulate matter Forecasting accuracy Optimisations Optimization algorithms Particulate Matter Performance PM 2.5 Particle swarm optimization (PSO) Accurate air pollution forecasting may provide valuable information for urban planning to maintain environmental sustainability and reduce mortality risk due to health problems. The city with higher industrial activities, traffic congestion, population density, and energy consumption is most likely to produce higher pollution than the other cities. Therefore, this study uses hybrid deep learning models to forecast air pollution based on the concentration of particulate matter with diameter size of less than 2.5 ?m (PM2.5) for two air quality monitoring stations in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. The proposed models predict the hourly air pollutant concentration based on 4-h historical input based on six air pollutant data, meteorology parameters, and PM2.5 concentration data from the neighboring air quality monitoring stations. Long short-term memory based on metaheuristic algorithms, namely particle swarm optimization and sparrow search algorithm (PSO-LSTM and SSA-LSTM), are first developed and applied to determine the significance input combination to the changes of PM2.5 concentration at respective target stations. Then, the input configuration that gives the best forecasting accuracy was selected for subsequent experiments using enhanced approaches based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD-PSO-LSTM and EEMD-SSA-LSTM). Subsequently, this study also analyzed the contributions of the neighboring PM2.5 dataset to the fluctuation of PM2.5 concentration at target stations. It is found that EEMD-SSA-LSTM model of M5 improves other models in Batu Muda and Cheras by 2.65% and 20.00% for RMSE and 9.31% and 25.30% for MAE, respectively. The results indicate that the proposed model yields the highest forecasting accuracy compared to the other models, and additional information on neighboring PM2.5 significantly improves the forecasting accuracy at both target stations. Besides that, comparing the performance of the two optimization approaches, SSA provides better performance compared to PSO in optimizing LSTM hyperparameters to forecast PM2.5 concentration. � 2023 Elsevier Ltd Final 2024-10-14T03:17:24Z 2024-10-14T03:17:24Z 2023 Article 10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.139233 2-s2.0-85174055041 https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85174055041&doi=10.1016%2fj.jclepro.2023.139233&partnerID=40&md5=afddd99360d81d011d27042b5d8b1538 https://irepository.uniten.edu.my/handle/123456789/33903 427 139233 Elsevier Ltd Scopus
institution Universiti Tenaga Nasional
building UNITEN Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Tenaga Nasional
content_source UNITEN Institutional Repository
url_provider http://dspace.uniten.edu.my/
topic Air pollution
Artificial intelligence
Deep learning
Optimization
Particulate matter
Air quality
Empirical mode decomposition
Energy utilization
Forecasting
Health risks
Learning algorithms
Long short-term memory
Particles (particulate matter)
Population statistics
Sustainable development
Traffic congestion
Air pollution forecasting
Air quality monitoring stations
Deep learning
Fine particulate matter
Forecasting accuracy
Optimisations
Optimization algorithms
Particulate Matter
Performance
PM 2.5
Particle swarm optimization (PSO)
spellingShingle Air pollution
Artificial intelligence
Deep learning
Optimization
Particulate matter
Air quality
Empirical mode decomposition
Energy utilization
Forecasting
Health risks
Learning algorithms
Long short-term memory
Particles (particulate matter)
Population statistics
Sustainable development
Traffic congestion
Air pollution forecasting
Air quality monitoring stations
Deep learning
Fine particulate matter
Forecasting accuracy
Optimisations
Optimization algorithms
Particulate Matter
Performance
PM 2.5
Particle swarm optimization (PSO)
Zaini N.
Ahmed A.N.
Ean L.W.
Chow M.F.
Malek M.A.
Forecasting of fine particulate matter based on LSTM and optimization algorithm
description Accurate air pollution forecasting may provide valuable information for urban planning to maintain environmental sustainability and reduce mortality risk due to health problems. The city with higher industrial activities, traffic congestion, population density, and energy consumption is most likely to produce higher pollution than the other cities. Therefore, this study uses hybrid deep learning models to forecast air pollution based on the concentration of particulate matter with diameter size of less than 2.5 ?m (PM2.5) for two air quality monitoring stations in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. The proposed models predict the hourly air pollutant concentration based on 4-h historical input based on six air pollutant data, meteorology parameters, and PM2.5 concentration data from the neighboring air quality monitoring stations. Long short-term memory based on metaheuristic algorithms, namely particle swarm optimization and sparrow search algorithm (PSO-LSTM and SSA-LSTM), are first developed and applied to determine the significance input combination to the changes of PM2.5 concentration at respective target stations. Then, the input configuration that gives the best forecasting accuracy was selected for subsequent experiments using enhanced approaches based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD-PSO-LSTM and EEMD-SSA-LSTM). Subsequently, this study also analyzed the contributions of the neighboring PM2.5 dataset to the fluctuation of PM2.5 concentration at target stations. It is found that EEMD-SSA-LSTM model of M5 improves other models in Batu Muda and Cheras by 2.65% and 20.00% for RMSE and 9.31% and 25.30% for MAE, respectively. The results indicate that the proposed model yields the highest forecasting accuracy compared to the other models, and additional information on neighboring PM2.5 significantly improves the forecasting accuracy at both target stations. Besides that, comparing the performance of the two optimization approaches, SSA provides better performance compared to PSO in optimizing LSTM hyperparameters to forecast PM2.5 concentration. � 2023 Elsevier Ltd
author2 56905328500
author_facet 56905328500
Zaini N.
Ahmed A.N.
Ean L.W.
Chow M.F.
Malek M.A.
format Article
author Zaini N.
Ahmed A.N.
Ean L.W.
Chow M.F.
Malek M.A.
author_sort Zaini N.
title Forecasting of fine particulate matter based on LSTM and optimization algorithm
title_short Forecasting of fine particulate matter based on LSTM and optimization algorithm
title_full Forecasting of fine particulate matter based on LSTM and optimization algorithm
title_fullStr Forecasting of fine particulate matter based on LSTM and optimization algorithm
title_full_unstemmed Forecasting of fine particulate matter based on LSTM and optimization algorithm
title_sort forecasting of fine particulate matter based on lstm and optimization algorithm
publisher Elsevier Ltd
publishDate 2024
_version_ 1814061093899730944
score 13.214268