Model-Based Glycaemic Control in Critically Ill Diabetes Mellitus Patients: Monte Carlo Sensitivity Analysis

Errors; Glucose; Insulin; Intelligent systems; Intensive care units; Monte Carlo methods; Stars; Stochastic models; Stochastic systems; Critically ills; Diabetes mellitus; Glycemic control; In-silico; In-silico trial; Insulin sensitivity; Intensive care; Malaysians; Model-based OPC; Monte Carlo'...

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Main Authors: Razak A.A., Razak N.N., Nor Hisham Shah N., Lee J.W.W., Abu-Samah A., Geoffrey Chase J.
Other Authors: 56960052400
Format: Conference Paper
Published: Association for Computing Machinery 2023
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spelling my.uniten.dspace-269042023-05-29T17:37:41Z Model-Based Glycaemic Control in Critically Ill Diabetes Mellitus Patients: Monte Carlo Sensitivity Analysis Razak A.A. Razak N.N. Nor Hisham Shah N. Lee J.W.W. Abu-Samah A. Geoffrey Chase J. 56960052400 37059587300 57192679739 57230146400 56719596600 35570524900 Errors; Glucose; Insulin; Intelligent systems; Intensive care units; Monte Carlo methods; Stars; Stochastic models; Stochastic systems; Critically ills; Diabetes mellitus; Glycemic control; In-silico; In-silico trial; Insulin sensitivity; Intensive care; Malaysians; Model-based OPC; Monte Carlo's simulation; Sensitivity analysis Insulin resistance and sensitivity variabilities exacerbated diabetes mellitus (DM) and non-diabetes mellitus (NDM) patients' conditions in the intensive care unit (ICU). This problem has been affiliated with glycaemic control performance and external errors, thus, influencing the blood glucose (BG) monitoring in those patients. A model-based glycaemic control was proposed as it offers a non-invasive observation of DM patients' insulin sensitivity (SI) in the ICU. This model-based glycaemic control used the Intensive Care Insulin Nutrition Glucose (ICING) model that combines stochastic targeted (STAR) protocol which was developed in Christchurch enabling the estimation of SI. However, lower SI in Malaysian cohorts has led to ICING model enhancement, giving better SI estimation to represent each critically ill DM and NDM patient's metabolic parameter. To identify the enhanced ICING model robustness, BG sensitivity error was added with 5% �1 of noise error then simulated 100 times with Monte Carlo simulations. A total of 131 patients (170 DM and 101 NDM episodes) from the STAR trial in a general ICU was simulated producing 17000 and 10100 Monte Carlo simulations. The Monte Carlo analysis results showed with model enhancement, the model-based glycaemic control for Malaysian DM and NDM is robust and most importantly safe to be used with less than 0.1% of mild and severe hypoglycaemias. The median BG level, the % BG 6.0 - 10.0 mmol/L with and without Monte Carlo for DM and NDM cohort were in the target. In conclusion, through this validation, the enhanced ICING model is robust, optimised and safe to be used for glycaemic control within the DM and NDM in Malaysian ICUs. � 2022 ACM. Final 2023-05-29T09:37:41Z 2023-05-29T09:37:41Z 2022 Conference Paper 10.1145/3535694.3535728 2-s2.0-85134575949 https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85134575949&doi=10.1145%2f3535694.3535728&partnerID=40&md5=f61ee4e07a27c558e0cbc84d2848fb13 https://irepository.uniten.edu.my/handle/123456789/26904 203 209 Association for Computing Machinery Scopus
institution Universiti Tenaga Nasional
building UNITEN Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Tenaga Nasional
content_source UNITEN Institutional Repository
url_provider http://dspace.uniten.edu.my/
description Errors; Glucose; Insulin; Intelligent systems; Intensive care units; Monte Carlo methods; Stars; Stochastic models; Stochastic systems; Critically ills; Diabetes mellitus; Glycemic control; In-silico; In-silico trial; Insulin sensitivity; Intensive care; Malaysians; Model-based OPC; Monte Carlo's simulation; Sensitivity analysis
author2 56960052400
author_facet 56960052400
Razak A.A.
Razak N.N.
Nor Hisham Shah N.
Lee J.W.W.
Abu-Samah A.
Geoffrey Chase J.
format Conference Paper
author Razak A.A.
Razak N.N.
Nor Hisham Shah N.
Lee J.W.W.
Abu-Samah A.
Geoffrey Chase J.
spellingShingle Razak A.A.
Razak N.N.
Nor Hisham Shah N.
Lee J.W.W.
Abu-Samah A.
Geoffrey Chase J.
Model-Based Glycaemic Control in Critically Ill Diabetes Mellitus Patients: Monte Carlo Sensitivity Analysis
author_sort Razak A.A.
title Model-Based Glycaemic Control in Critically Ill Diabetes Mellitus Patients: Monte Carlo Sensitivity Analysis
title_short Model-Based Glycaemic Control in Critically Ill Diabetes Mellitus Patients: Monte Carlo Sensitivity Analysis
title_full Model-Based Glycaemic Control in Critically Ill Diabetes Mellitus Patients: Monte Carlo Sensitivity Analysis
title_fullStr Model-Based Glycaemic Control in Critically Ill Diabetes Mellitus Patients: Monte Carlo Sensitivity Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Model-Based Glycaemic Control in Critically Ill Diabetes Mellitus Patients: Monte Carlo Sensitivity Analysis
title_sort model-based glycaemic control in critically ill diabetes mellitus patients: monte carlo sensitivity analysis
publisher Association for Computing Machinery
publishDate 2023
_version_ 1806428033056243712
score 13.214268