Experiment on Electricity Consumption Prediction using Long Short-Term Memory Architecture on Residential Electrical Consumer

Benchmarking; Brain; Electric power utilization; Errors; Forecasting; Global warming; Mean square error; Memory architecture; Quality control; Consumption patterns; Electricity demands; Electricity-consumption; Historical dataset; Independent variables; Mean absolute error; Prediction accuracy; Rene...

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Main Authors: Md Salleh N.S., Suliman A., Jorgensen B.N.
Other Authors: 54946009300
Format: Conference Paper
Published: Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. 2023
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spelling my.uniten.dspace-261032023-05-29T17:06:50Z Experiment on Electricity Consumption Prediction using Long Short-Term Memory Architecture on Residential Electrical Consumer Md Salleh N.S. Suliman A. Jorgensen B.N. 54946009300 25825739000 7202434812 Benchmarking; Brain; Electric power utilization; Errors; Forecasting; Global warming; Mean square error; Memory architecture; Quality control; Consumption patterns; Electricity demands; Electricity-consumption; Historical dataset; Independent variables; Mean absolute error; Prediction accuracy; Renewable energies; Long short-term memory Renewable energy is an alternative for carbon-intensive energy sources that reduce global warming emissions. The electricity demand prediction helps to predict the consumption patterns on the demand side. The historical dataset of electricity usage is an essential source required to perform electricity prediction. This paper proposed the addition of independent variables that includes special days or holidays, weekend, seasons, and daylight duration into the basic electricity usage dataset that helps to increase the prediction accuracy. There were two datasets used in this study, basic electricity usage dataset that consists of date, time, and usage features, and extended electricity usage dataset that consists of the basic and independent variables features. Each dataset produced one model, basic model and extended model, respectively, from the training sessions conducted. The basic electricity usage dataset model was used as a benchmark to evaluate the quality of the model with extended features, extended model. Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) was the selected machine learning architecture due to its ability to solve the regression problem in time series. All models produced were evaluated using two evaluation metrics, mean squared error (MSE) and mean absolute error (MAE). The application of the proposed methodology, LSTM with the proposed extended features had the lowest error rate with an MSE value of 0.1238 and an MAE value of 0.0388. These results showed that adding independent variables into the dataset improved the model generated from the training session. � 2021 IEEE. Final 2023-05-29T09:06:50Z 2023-05-29T09:06:50Z 2021 Conference Paper 10.1109/ICOTEN52080.2021.9493466 2-s2.0-85112347445 https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85112347445&doi=10.1109%2fICOTEN52080.2021.9493466&partnerID=40&md5=df52784f3bfc7c55f70a84c8b2160792 https://irepository.uniten.edu.my/handle/123456789/26103 9493466 Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. Scopus
institution Universiti Tenaga Nasional
building UNITEN Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Tenaga Nasional
content_source UNITEN Institutional Repository
url_provider http://dspace.uniten.edu.my/
description Benchmarking; Brain; Electric power utilization; Errors; Forecasting; Global warming; Mean square error; Memory architecture; Quality control; Consumption patterns; Electricity demands; Electricity-consumption; Historical dataset; Independent variables; Mean absolute error; Prediction accuracy; Renewable energies; Long short-term memory
author2 54946009300
author_facet 54946009300
Md Salleh N.S.
Suliman A.
Jorgensen B.N.
format Conference Paper
author Md Salleh N.S.
Suliman A.
Jorgensen B.N.
spellingShingle Md Salleh N.S.
Suliman A.
Jorgensen B.N.
Experiment on Electricity Consumption Prediction using Long Short-Term Memory Architecture on Residential Electrical Consumer
author_sort Md Salleh N.S.
title Experiment on Electricity Consumption Prediction using Long Short-Term Memory Architecture on Residential Electrical Consumer
title_short Experiment on Electricity Consumption Prediction using Long Short-Term Memory Architecture on Residential Electrical Consumer
title_full Experiment on Electricity Consumption Prediction using Long Short-Term Memory Architecture on Residential Electrical Consumer
title_fullStr Experiment on Electricity Consumption Prediction using Long Short-Term Memory Architecture on Residential Electrical Consumer
title_full_unstemmed Experiment on Electricity Consumption Prediction using Long Short-Term Memory Architecture on Residential Electrical Consumer
title_sort experiment on electricity consumption prediction using long short-term memory architecture on residential electrical consumer
publisher Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
publishDate 2023
_version_ 1806426713045860352
score 13.211869