Forecasting particulate matter concentration using linear and non-linear approaches for air quality decision support

Air quality; Decision support systems; Fog; Forecasting; Functions; Linear regression; Nonlinear systems; Particles (particulate matter); Radial basis function networks; Forecasting algorithm; Forecasting performance; Malaysia; Multi layer perceptron; Multiple linear regressions; Particulate Matter;...

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Main Authors: Abdullah S., Ismail M., Ahmed A.N., Abdullah A.M.
Other Authors: 56509029800
Format: Article
Published: MDPI AG 2023
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spelling my.uniten.dspace-243282023-05-29T15:22:48Z Forecasting particulate matter concentration using linear and non-linear approaches for air quality decision support Abdullah S. Ismail M. Ahmed A.N. Abdullah A.M. 56509029800 57210403363 57214837520 57193067284 Air quality; Decision support systems; Fog; Forecasting; Functions; Linear regression; Nonlinear systems; Particles (particulate matter); Radial basis function networks; Forecasting algorithm; Forecasting performance; Malaysia; Multi layer perceptron; Multiple linear regressions; Particulate Matter; Radial basis functions; Urban and rural areas; Urban growth; air quality; algorithm; decision support system; early warning system; forecasting method; multiple regression; particulate matter; performance assessment; precision; Malaysia; West Malaysia Air quality status on the East Coast of Peninsular Malaysia is dominated by Particulate Matter (PM10) throughout the years. Studies have affirmed that PM10 influence human health and the environment. Therefore, precise forecasting algorithms are urgently needed to determine the PM10 status for mitigation plan and early warning purposes. This study investigates the forecasting performance of a linear (Multiple Linear Regression) and two non-linear models (Multi-Layer Perceptron and Radial Basis Function) utilizing meteorological and gaseous pollutants variables as input parameters from the year 2000-2014 at four sites with different surrounding activities of urban, sub-urban and rural areas. Non-linear model (Radial Basis Function) outperforms the linear model with the error reduced by 78.9% (urban), 32.1% (sub-urban) and 39.8% (rural). Association between PM10 and its contributing factors are complex and non-linear in nature, best captured by an Artificial Neural Network, which generates more accurate PM10 compared to the linear model. The results are robust enough for precise next day forecasting of PM10 concentration on the East Coast of Peninsular Malaysia. � 2019 by the authors. Final 2023-05-29T07:22:48Z 2023-05-29T07:22:48Z 2019 Article 10.3390/atmos10110667 2-s2.0-85075648096 https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85075648096&doi=10.3390%2fatmos10110667&partnerID=40&md5=55cf764b235e3675d27d502fa28725c3 https://irepository.uniten.edu.my/handle/123456789/24328 10 11 667 All Open Access, Gold MDPI AG Scopus
institution Universiti Tenaga Nasional
building UNITEN Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Tenaga Nasional
content_source UNITEN Institutional Repository
url_provider http://dspace.uniten.edu.my/
description Air quality; Decision support systems; Fog; Forecasting; Functions; Linear regression; Nonlinear systems; Particles (particulate matter); Radial basis function networks; Forecasting algorithm; Forecasting performance; Malaysia; Multi layer perceptron; Multiple linear regressions; Particulate Matter; Radial basis functions; Urban and rural areas; Urban growth; air quality; algorithm; decision support system; early warning system; forecasting method; multiple regression; particulate matter; performance assessment; precision; Malaysia; West Malaysia
author2 56509029800
author_facet 56509029800
Abdullah S.
Ismail M.
Ahmed A.N.
Abdullah A.M.
format Article
author Abdullah S.
Ismail M.
Ahmed A.N.
Abdullah A.M.
spellingShingle Abdullah S.
Ismail M.
Ahmed A.N.
Abdullah A.M.
Forecasting particulate matter concentration using linear and non-linear approaches for air quality decision support
author_sort Abdullah S.
title Forecasting particulate matter concentration using linear and non-linear approaches for air quality decision support
title_short Forecasting particulate matter concentration using linear and non-linear approaches for air quality decision support
title_full Forecasting particulate matter concentration using linear and non-linear approaches for air quality decision support
title_fullStr Forecasting particulate matter concentration using linear and non-linear approaches for air quality decision support
title_full_unstemmed Forecasting particulate matter concentration using linear and non-linear approaches for air quality decision support
title_sort forecasting particulate matter concentration using linear and non-linear approaches for air quality decision support
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2023
_version_ 1806423323499823104
score 13.214268