Energy time series forecasting : efficient and accurate forecasting of evolving time Series from the energy domain

Continuous balancing of electric power consumption and production is a fundamental prerequisite for the stability and efficiency of electricity grids. This balancing task requires accurate forecasts of future electricity demand and supply at any point in time. For this purpose, today’s energy data ma...

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Main Author: Lars Dannecker
Format: Book
Language:English
Published: Springer 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dspace.uniten.edu.my/jspui/handle/123456789/13420
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spelling my.uniten.dspace-134202020-02-17T05:04:43Z Energy time series forecasting : efficient and accurate forecasting of evolving time Series from the energy domain Lars Dannecker Energy, energy consumption, electric power consumption, electricity demand Continuous balancing of electric power consumption and production is a fundamental prerequisite for the stability and efficiency of electricity grids. This balancing task requires accurate forecasts of future electricity demand and supply at any point in time. For this purpose, today’s energy data management systems (EDMS) typically use quantitative models—called forecast models—that already provide accurate predictions. However, recent developments in the energy domain such as real-time intra-day trading and the integration of more renewable energy sources also require more efficient forecasting calculations and a rapid provisioning of forecasting results. Furthermore, today’s EDMSs fulfill a number of different tasks, each exhibiting different requirements for the calculation of forecasts with respect to runtime and accuracy. Thus, it is necessary to flexibly adapt the forecasting process with respect to the needs of the current requests. In contrast, currently employed forecasting approach esare rather time-consuming and inflexible.One reason is the very expensive estimation of the forecast model parameters, involving a large number of simulations in a search space that increases exponential with the number of parameters. 2020-02-10T01:55:23Z 2020-02-10T01:55:23Z 2015 Book http://dspace.uniten.edu.my/jspui/handle/123456789/13420 en Springer
institution Universiti Tenaga Nasional
building UNITEN Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Tenaga Nasional
content_source UNITEN Institutional Repository
url_provider http://dspace.uniten.edu.my/
language English
topic Energy, energy consumption, electric power consumption, electricity demand
spellingShingle Energy, energy consumption, electric power consumption, electricity demand
Lars Dannecker
Energy time series forecasting : efficient and accurate forecasting of evolving time Series from the energy domain
description Continuous balancing of electric power consumption and production is a fundamental prerequisite for the stability and efficiency of electricity grids. This balancing task requires accurate forecasts of future electricity demand and supply at any point in time. For this purpose, today’s energy data management systems (EDMS) typically use quantitative models—called forecast models—that already provide accurate predictions. However, recent developments in the energy domain such as real-time intra-day trading and the integration of more renewable energy sources also require more efficient forecasting calculations and a rapid provisioning of forecasting results. Furthermore, today’s EDMSs fulfill a number of different tasks, each exhibiting different requirements for the calculation of forecasts with respect to runtime and accuracy. Thus, it is necessary to flexibly adapt the forecasting process with respect to the needs of the current requests. In contrast, currently employed forecasting approach esare rather time-consuming and inflexible.One reason is the very expensive estimation of the forecast model parameters, involving a large number of simulations in a search space that increases exponential with the number of parameters.
format Book
author Lars Dannecker
author_facet Lars Dannecker
author_sort Lars Dannecker
title Energy time series forecasting : efficient and accurate forecasting of evolving time Series from the energy domain
title_short Energy time series forecasting : efficient and accurate forecasting of evolving time Series from the energy domain
title_full Energy time series forecasting : efficient and accurate forecasting of evolving time Series from the energy domain
title_fullStr Energy time series forecasting : efficient and accurate forecasting of evolving time Series from the energy domain
title_full_unstemmed Energy time series forecasting : efficient and accurate forecasting of evolving time Series from the energy domain
title_sort energy time series forecasting : efficient and accurate forecasting of evolving time series from the energy domain
publisher Springer
publishDate 2020
url http://dspace.uniten.edu.my/jspui/handle/123456789/13420
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