Cover Image

Modelling of extreme temperature and its correlation with ENSO : a case study in Perlis

Master of Science in Engineering Mathematics

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Mohd Shazli, Ismail
Other Authors: Nor Azrita, Mohd Amin, Dr.
Format: Dissertation
Language:English
Published: Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP) 2018
Subjects:
Extreme value theory
El Niño Current
Extreme value (EV)
Extreme temperature
Extreme temperature > Perlis
Online Access:http://dspace.unimap.edu.my:80/xmlui/handle/123456789/78016
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
id my.unimap-78016
record_format dspace
spelling my.unimap-780162023-03-29T02:14:44Z Modelling of extreme temperature and its correlation with ENSO : a case study in Perlis Mohd Shazli, Ismail Nor Azrita, Mohd Amin, Dr. Extreme value theory El Niño Current Extreme value (EV) Extreme temperature Extreme temperature -- Perlis Master of Science in Engineering Mathematics Extreme value (EV) theory has raised researcher's attention for modelling and forecasting the catastrophic or high-risk events. Since extreme environmental events may cause huge loss of properties and affect human life, therefore it is significant to understand the behavior of such uncommon events and predict the upcoming. EV theory affords some understanding to the tail of a distribution where standard models have proved unreliable. The generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is used to model the extreme based on block maxima method. Inference of the extremes of environmental events is essential as a guideline in designing structures to survive under the utmost extreme condition. Extreme temperature caused various effect and can be associated with human health and material damage. Meanwhile, El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), is a climate condition that happened all year round globally. The EV theory is applied through GEV with two approaches, Maximum Likelihood Estimate (MLE) and L-Moments (LM) to model the extreme temperature in Chuping, Perlis and hence estimates the future extreme levels. The issue of block size is discussed. The goodness of fit (GOF) test is done using root mean squared error (RMSE) and Kolmogorov Smirnov (KS) test to determine the best approach. From the results, it is found that MLE is better than LM for the yearly block but LM squared things up for the monthly block. The return level is expected to exceed the maximum value 40.1oC at certain return periods. The moderate correlation coefficient, r is obtained in finding the relation between extreme temperature and ENSO. So, it is proofed that ENSO events influences extreme temperature in Chuping, Perlis. 2018 2023-03-06T08:09:23Z 2023-03-06T08:09:23Z Dissertation http://dspace.unimap.edu.my:80/xmlui/handle/123456789/78016 en Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP) Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP) Institute of Engineering Mathematics
institution Universiti Malaysia Perlis
building UniMAP Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Malaysia Perlis
content_source UniMAP Library Digital Repository
url_provider http://dspace.unimap.edu.my/
language English
topic Extreme value theory
El Niño Current
Extreme value (EV)
Extreme temperature
Extreme temperature -- Perlis
spellingShingle Extreme value theory
El Niño Current
Extreme value (EV)
Extreme temperature
Extreme temperature -- Perlis
Mohd Shazli, Ismail
Modelling of extreme temperature and its correlation with ENSO : a case study in Perlis
description Master of Science in Engineering Mathematics
author2 Nor Azrita, Mohd Amin, Dr.
author_facet Nor Azrita, Mohd Amin, Dr.
Mohd Shazli, Ismail
format Dissertation
author Mohd Shazli, Ismail
author_sort Mohd Shazli, Ismail
title Modelling of extreme temperature and its correlation with ENSO : a case study in Perlis
title_short Modelling of extreme temperature and its correlation with ENSO : a case study in Perlis
title_full Modelling of extreme temperature and its correlation with ENSO : a case study in Perlis
title_fullStr Modelling of extreme temperature and its correlation with ENSO : a case study in Perlis
title_full_unstemmed Modelling of extreme temperature and its correlation with ENSO : a case study in Perlis
title_sort modelling of extreme temperature and its correlation with enso : a case study in perlis
publisher Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP)
publishDate 2018
url http://dspace.unimap.edu.my:80/xmlui/handle/123456789/78016
_version_ 1772813089965604864
score 13.214268

Similar Items