Rainfall projection corresponding to climate scenarios based on Statistical Down-Scaling Model over Perlis, Malaysia

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Main Authors: Zulkarnain, Hassan, Mohd Faez, Mohd Mansor, Ain Nihla, Kamarudzaman
Other Authors: zulkarnainh@unimap.edu.my
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP) 2020
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Online Access:http://dspace.unimap.edu.my:80/xmlui/handle/123456789/63833
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spelling my.unimap-638332020-01-23T08:39:03Z Rainfall projection corresponding to climate scenarios based on Statistical Down-Scaling Model over Perlis, Malaysia Zulkarnain, Hassan Mohd Faez, Mohd Mansor Ain Nihla, Kamarudzaman zulkarnainh@unimap.edu.my General Circulation Models Statistical Down-Scaling Model Rainfall HadCM3 Link to publisher's homepage at http://jere.unimap.edu.my General Circulation Models (GCMs) are used to modelling the responses of the climate system to different scenarios of greenhouse gas and aerosol. However, the model needs to downscale into a fine resolution daily rainfall series appropriate for local scale hydrological impact studies. In this study, Statistical Down-Scaling Model (SDSM) is used to downscale the GCMs simulations from Hadley Centre 3rd generation (HadCM3) with A2 and B2 scenarios for future rainfall over the area of Perlis, Malaysia. The SDSM model is able to simulate satisfactorily the daily rainfall series by giving the average coefficient of correlation (R2) and standard error (SE) during the validation period are 0.11 and 9.88mm/day respectively. The study area is apparently will gain an increasing trend for annual mean rainfall on the 2020s and show the decreasing trend for annual mean rainfall for period 2050s and 2080s for both scenario emissions. 2020-01-23T08:39:03Z 2020-01-23T08:39:03Z 2019 Article Journal of Engineering Research and Education, vol.11, 2019, pages 9-14 1823-2981 (print) 2232-1098 (online) http://dspace.unimap.edu.my:80/xmlui/handle/123456789/63833 en Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP)
institution Universiti Malaysia Perlis
building UniMAP Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Malaysia Perlis
content_source UniMAP Library Digital Repository
url_provider http://dspace.unimap.edu.my/
language English
topic General Circulation Models
Statistical Down-Scaling Model
Rainfall
HadCM3
spellingShingle General Circulation Models
Statistical Down-Scaling Model
Rainfall
HadCM3
Zulkarnain, Hassan
Mohd Faez, Mohd Mansor
Ain Nihla, Kamarudzaman
Rainfall projection corresponding to climate scenarios based on Statistical Down-Scaling Model over Perlis, Malaysia
description Link to publisher's homepage at http://jere.unimap.edu.my
author2 zulkarnainh@unimap.edu.my
author_facet zulkarnainh@unimap.edu.my
Zulkarnain, Hassan
Mohd Faez, Mohd Mansor
Ain Nihla, Kamarudzaman
format Article
author Zulkarnain, Hassan
Mohd Faez, Mohd Mansor
Ain Nihla, Kamarudzaman
author_sort Zulkarnain, Hassan
title Rainfall projection corresponding to climate scenarios based on Statistical Down-Scaling Model over Perlis, Malaysia
title_short Rainfall projection corresponding to climate scenarios based on Statistical Down-Scaling Model over Perlis, Malaysia
title_full Rainfall projection corresponding to climate scenarios based on Statistical Down-Scaling Model over Perlis, Malaysia
title_fullStr Rainfall projection corresponding to climate scenarios based on Statistical Down-Scaling Model over Perlis, Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed Rainfall projection corresponding to climate scenarios based on Statistical Down-Scaling Model over Perlis, Malaysia
title_sort rainfall projection corresponding to climate scenarios based on statistical down-scaling model over perlis, malaysia
publisher Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP)
publishDate 2020
url http://dspace.unimap.edu.my:80/xmlui/handle/123456789/63833
_version_ 1670805833781346304
score 13.222552