Rainfall projection corresponding to climate scenarios based on Statistical Down-Scaling Model over Perlis, Malaysia
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Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP)
2020
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my.unimap-638332020-01-23T08:39:03Z Rainfall projection corresponding to climate scenarios based on Statistical Down-Scaling Model over Perlis, Malaysia Zulkarnain, Hassan Mohd Faez, Mohd Mansor Ain Nihla, Kamarudzaman zulkarnainh@unimap.edu.my General Circulation Models Statistical Down-Scaling Model Rainfall HadCM3 Link to publisher's homepage at http://jere.unimap.edu.my General Circulation Models (GCMs) are used to modelling the responses of the climate system to different scenarios of greenhouse gas and aerosol. However, the model needs to downscale into a fine resolution daily rainfall series appropriate for local scale hydrological impact studies. In this study, Statistical Down-Scaling Model (SDSM) is used to downscale the GCMs simulations from Hadley Centre 3rd generation (HadCM3) with A2 and B2 scenarios for future rainfall over the area of Perlis, Malaysia. The SDSM model is able to simulate satisfactorily the daily rainfall series by giving the average coefficient of correlation (R2) and standard error (SE) during the validation period are 0.11 and 9.88mm/day respectively. The study area is apparently will gain an increasing trend for annual mean rainfall on the 2020s and show the decreasing trend for annual mean rainfall for period 2050s and 2080s for both scenario emissions. 2020-01-23T08:39:03Z 2020-01-23T08:39:03Z 2019 Article Journal of Engineering Research and Education, vol.11, 2019, pages 9-14 1823-2981 (print) 2232-1098 (online) http://dspace.unimap.edu.my:80/xmlui/handle/123456789/63833 en Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP) |
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Universiti Malaysia Perlis |
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English |
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General Circulation Models Statistical Down-Scaling Model Rainfall HadCM3 |
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General Circulation Models Statistical Down-Scaling Model Rainfall HadCM3 Zulkarnain, Hassan Mohd Faez, Mohd Mansor Ain Nihla, Kamarudzaman Rainfall projection corresponding to climate scenarios based on Statistical Down-Scaling Model over Perlis, Malaysia |
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Link to publisher's homepage at http://jere.unimap.edu.my |
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zulkarnainh@unimap.edu.my |
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zulkarnainh@unimap.edu.my Zulkarnain, Hassan Mohd Faez, Mohd Mansor Ain Nihla, Kamarudzaman |
format |
Article |
author |
Zulkarnain, Hassan Mohd Faez, Mohd Mansor Ain Nihla, Kamarudzaman |
author_sort |
Zulkarnain, Hassan |
title |
Rainfall projection corresponding to climate scenarios based on Statistical Down-Scaling Model over Perlis, Malaysia |
title_short |
Rainfall projection corresponding to climate scenarios based on Statistical Down-Scaling Model over Perlis, Malaysia |
title_full |
Rainfall projection corresponding to climate scenarios based on Statistical Down-Scaling Model over Perlis, Malaysia |
title_fullStr |
Rainfall projection corresponding to climate scenarios based on Statistical Down-Scaling Model over Perlis, Malaysia |
title_full_unstemmed |
Rainfall projection corresponding to climate scenarios based on Statistical Down-Scaling Model over Perlis, Malaysia |
title_sort |
rainfall projection corresponding to climate scenarios based on statistical down-scaling model over perlis, malaysia |
publisher |
Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP) |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
http://dspace.unimap.edu.my:80/xmlui/handle/123456789/63833 |
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1670805833781346304 |
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13.211869 |