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Harmony Search algorithm-based gasoline consumption modeling for Indonesia

International Conference on Man Machine Systems (ICoMMS 2012) organized by School of Mechatronic Engineering, co-organized by The Institute of Engineer, Malaysia (IEM) and Society of Engineering Education Malaysia, 27th - 28th February 2012 at Bayview Beach Resort, Penang, Malaysia.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Anggarani, Riesta, Watada, Junzo
Other Authors: riesta@akane.waseda.jp
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP) 2012
Subjects:
Harmony Search algorithm
Gasoline consumption
Indonesia
Metaheuristic algorithms
Online Access:http://dspace.unimap.edu.my/xmlui/handle/123456789/20455
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spelling my.unimap-204552012-07-19T08:48:52Z Harmony Search algorithm-based gasoline consumption modeling for Indonesia Anggarani, Riesta Watada, Junzo riesta@akane.waseda.jp junzo.watada@gmail.com Harmony Search algorithm Gasoline consumption Indonesia Metaheuristic algorithms International Conference on Man Machine Systems (ICoMMS 2012) organized by School of Mechatronic Engineering, co-organized by The Institute of Engineer, Malaysia (IEM) and Society of Engineering Education Malaysia, 27th - 28th February 2012 at Bayview Beach Resort, Penang, Malaysia. Indonesia is facing the discrepancy problem of the realized amount of gasoline consumption from the planned consumption. The discrepancy has burdened Indonesian national’s budget, because these unplanned imported amount of gasoline has increased government payment to the importer. In order to decrease this discrepancy, we intend to build a more accurate estimation model of the gasoline consumption in Indonesia. The objectives of this research are to develop a robust and accurate model to forecast future gasoline consumption and to provide an attractive alternative for gasoline consumption modeling by applying a metaheuristic approach. Utilizing general socioeconomic variables that can be retrieved from public data easily, we apply the Harmony Search (HS) algorithm to develop a model of gasoline consumption in Indonesia. The HS algorithm works to optimize the weight factors within the proposed mathematic models. Three Harmony Search algorithm-based models are proposed in this study: HS-Quadratic, HS-Linear, and HS-Exponential. Variables used in these models are Indonesian GDP, Indonesian population, and the total number of passenger cars and motorcycles in Indonesia. The HS-based Exponential model outperforms the other models. Its Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) reached 10.46%, while HSbased Linear model and HS-based Quadratic model obtained 12.15% and 18.514%, respectively. 2012-07-19T08:48:50Z 2012-07-19T08:48:50Z 2012-02-27 Working Paper http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/20455 en Proceedings of the International Conference on Man-Machine Systems (ICoMMS 2012) Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP) School of Mechatronic Engineering
institution Universiti Malaysia Perlis
building UniMAP Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Malaysia Perlis
content_source UniMAP Library Digital Repository
url_provider http://dspace.unimap.edu.my/
language English
topic Harmony Search algorithm
Gasoline consumption
Indonesia
Metaheuristic algorithms
spellingShingle Harmony Search algorithm
Gasoline consumption
Indonesia
Metaheuristic algorithms
Anggarani, Riesta
Watada, Junzo
Harmony Search algorithm-based gasoline consumption modeling for Indonesia
description International Conference on Man Machine Systems (ICoMMS 2012) organized by School of Mechatronic Engineering, co-organized by The Institute of Engineer, Malaysia (IEM) and Society of Engineering Education Malaysia, 27th - 28th February 2012 at Bayview Beach Resort, Penang, Malaysia.
author2 riesta@akane.waseda.jp
author_facet riesta@akane.waseda.jp
Anggarani, Riesta
Watada, Junzo
format Working Paper
author Anggarani, Riesta
Watada, Junzo
author_sort Anggarani, Riesta
title Harmony Search algorithm-based gasoline consumption modeling for Indonesia
title_short Harmony Search algorithm-based gasoline consumption modeling for Indonesia
title_full Harmony Search algorithm-based gasoline consumption modeling for Indonesia
title_fullStr Harmony Search algorithm-based gasoline consumption modeling for Indonesia
title_full_unstemmed Harmony Search algorithm-based gasoline consumption modeling for Indonesia
title_sort harmony search algorithm-based gasoline consumption modeling for indonesia
publisher Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP)
publishDate 2012
url http://dspace.unimap.edu.my/xmlui/handle/123456789/20455
_version_ 1643793078850420736
score 13.214268

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