Study of transmission of tuberculosis by SIR model using Runge-Kutta method
This project is conducted to see the prediction of the transmission of the tuberculosis disease's trend with demography and without demography. It is carried out by the SIR model with the Runge-Kutta fourth-order technique using mathematical modelling to analyse Tuberculosis transmission. Furth...
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Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia
2022
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Online Access: | http://journalarticle.ukm.my/20009/1/Paper_2_FARAH_LIYANA.pdf http://journalarticle.ukm.my/20009/ https://www.ukm.my/jqma/current/ |
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my-ukm.journal.200092022-10-04T00:53:42Z http://journalarticle.ukm.my/20009/ Study of transmission of tuberculosis by SIR model using Runge-Kutta method Farah Liyana Azizan, Saratha Sathasivam, Majid Khan Majahar Ali, Thing, Chee Hong Hii, Clement Kiing Yion This project is conducted to see the prediction of the transmission of the tuberculosis disease's trend with demography and without demography. It is carried out by the SIR model with the Runge-Kutta fourth-order technique using mathematical modelling to analyse Tuberculosis transmission. Furthermore, this project examines the Tuberculosis disease prediction performance of the two SIR models by comparing the data and also to predict the future trend of Tuberculosis transmission in Malaysia in the year 2021 by calculating its incidence rate for each 100 thousand people. We discovered that combining the SIR Model with demography improves the prediction of Tuberculosis disease spread. We also discovered that the higher the transmission rate, the lower the incidence rate per 100 thousand people, and the higher the incidence rate per 100 thousand people, the lower the recovery rate. As a result, it is acceptable to argue that these variables play a significant impact in determining epidemic growth rates. Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2022 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://journalarticle.ukm.my/20009/1/Paper_2_FARAH_LIYANA.pdf Farah Liyana Azizan, and Saratha Sathasivam, and Majid Khan Majahar Ali, and Thing, Chee Hong and Hii, Clement Kiing Yion (2022) Study of transmission of tuberculosis by SIR model using Runge-Kutta method. Journal of Quality Measurement and Analysis, 18 (2). pp. 13-28. ISSN 1823-5670 https://www.ukm.my/jqma/current/ |
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This project is conducted to see the prediction of the transmission of the tuberculosis disease's trend with demography and without demography. It is carried out by the SIR model with the Runge-Kutta fourth-order technique using mathematical modelling to analyse Tuberculosis transmission. Furthermore, this project examines the Tuberculosis disease prediction performance of the two SIR models by comparing the data and also to predict the future trend of Tuberculosis transmission in Malaysia in the year 2021 by calculating its incidence rate for each 100 thousand people. We discovered that combining the SIR Model with demography improves the prediction of Tuberculosis disease spread. We also discovered that the higher the transmission rate, the lower the incidence rate per 100 thousand people, and the higher the incidence rate per 100 thousand people, the lower the recovery rate. As a result, it is acceptable to argue that these variables play a significant impact in determining epidemic growth rates. |
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Article |
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Farah Liyana Azizan, Saratha Sathasivam, Majid Khan Majahar Ali, Thing, Chee Hong Hii, Clement Kiing Yion |
spellingShingle |
Farah Liyana Azizan, Saratha Sathasivam, Majid Khan Majahar Ali, Thing, Chee Hong Hii, Clement Kiing Yion Study of transmission of tuberculosis by SIR model using Runge-Kutta method |
author_facet |
Farah Liyana Azizan, Saratha Sathasivam, Majid Khan Majahar Ali, Thing, Chee Hong Hii, Clement Kiing Yion |
author_sort |
Farah Liyana Azizan, |
title |
Study of transmission of tuberculosis by SIR model using Runge-Kutta method |
title_short |
Study of transmission of tuberculosis by SIR model using Runge-Kutta method |
title_full |
Study of transmission of tuberculosis by SIR model using Runge-Kutta method |
title_fullStr |
Study of transmission of tuberculosis by SIR model using Runge-Kutta method |
title_full_unstemmed |
Study of transmission of tuberculosis by SIR model using Runge-Kutta method |
title_sort |
study of transmission of tuberculosis by sir model using runge-kutta method |
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Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia |
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2022 |
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http://journalarticle.ukm.my/20009/1/Paper_2_FARAH_LIYANA.pdf http://journalarticle.ukm.my/20009/ https://www.ukm.my/jqma/current/ |
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