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Forecasting model based on LSSVM and ABC for natural resource commodity by Yusof, Yuhanis, Kamaruddin, Siti Sakira, Husni, Husniza, Ku-Mahamud, Ku Ruhana, Mustaffa, Zuriani

“…Reliable forecast of the price of natural resource commodity is of interest for a wide range of applications.This includes generating macroeconomic projections and in assessing macroeconomic risks.Various approaches have been introduced in developing the required forecasting models.In this paper, a forecasting model based on an optimized Least Squares Support Vector Machine is proposed.The determination of hyper-parameters is performed using a nature inspired algorithm, Artificial Bee Colony.The proposed forecasting model is realized is gold price forecasting.The undertaken experiments showed that the prediction accuracy and Mean Absolute Percentage Error produced by the proposed model is better compared on the one produced using Least Squares Support Vector Machine as an individual.…”
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Data normalization techniques in swarm-based forecasting models for energy commodity spot price by Yusof, Yuhanis, Mustaffa, Zuriani, Kamaruddin, Siti Sakira

“…Data mining is a fundamental technique in identifying patterns from large data sets.The extracted facts and patterns contribute in various domains such as marketing, forecasting, and medical.Prior to that, data are consolidated so that the resulting mining process may be more efficient.This study investigates the effect of different data normalization techniques.which are Min-max, Z-score and decimal scaling, on Swarm-based forecasting models.Recent swarm intelligence algorithms employed includes the Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO) and Artificial Bee Colony (ABC).Forecasting models are later developed to predict the daily spot price of crude oil and gasoline.Results showed that GWO works better with Z-score normalization technique while ABC produces better accuracy with the Min-Max.Nevertheless, the GWO is more superior than ABC as its model generates the highest accuracy for both crude oil and gasoline price.Such a result indicates that GWO is a promising competitor in the family of swarm intelligence algorithms.…”
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Time series forecasting of energy commodity using grey wolf optimizer by Yusof, Yuhanis, Mustaffa, Zuriani

“…The ability to model and perform decision making is an essential feature of many real-world applications including the forecasting of commodity prices.In this study, a forecasting model based on a relatively new Swarm Intelligence (SI) behaviour, namely Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO), is developed for short term time series forecasting.The model is built upon data obtained from the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil and gasoline price.Performance of the GWO model is compared against two other models which are developed based on Evolutionary Computation (EC) algorithms, namely the Artificial Bee Colony (ABC) and Differential Evolution (DE).Results showed that the GWO model outperformed DE in both crude oil and gasoline price forecasting. …”
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A review of the hybrid artificial intelligence and optimization modelling of hydrological streamflow forecasting by Ibrahim K.S.M.H., Huang Y.F., Ahmed A.N., Koo C.H., El-Shafie A.

Time Series Forecasting of Energy Commodity using Grey Wolf Optimizer by Zuriani, Mustaffa, Yuhanis, Yusof

“…Performance of the GWO model is compared against two other models which are developed based on Evolutionary Computation (EC) algorithms, namely the Artificial Bee Colony (ABC) and Differential Evolution (DE). …”
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Meta-heuristic approaches for reservoir optimisation operation and investigation of climate change impact at Klang gate dam by Lai, Vivien Mei Yen

“…In addition, a few scenarios of the future water demand were developed and estimated based on a close proximity of real condition: (i) Temperature Scenarios and (ii) Forecasted Population Growth. …”
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